넘버스는 <블로터>가 선보이는 기업분석·자본시장 뉴스 제공 서비스입니다.

 종합 석유화학회사인 롯데케미칼이 불황 속 흑자로 가뭄의 단비를 맞나 싶었지만 또 다시 신용등급 강등 위기에 놓였다. 무리해서 사들인 롯데에너지머티리얼즈가 2분기 연속 손실을 낸 가운데, 롯데케미칼은 5분기 연속 적자를 기록하면서다. 롯데그룹의 한해 실적을 좌우하는 롯데케미칼이 겹악재에 놓이면서 그룹 계열사의 신용도에 악영향을 미칠지 이목이 쏠린다.  더딘 중국 수출 회복 속도...전망은 '암울'  8일 금융감독원 전자공시시스템(DART)에 따르면 롯데케미칼은 흑자 전환에 실패했다. 올해 2분기 연결기준 잠정실적으로 매출 5조24억원, 영업적자 770억원을 기록했다. 전년 동기 대비 각각 -5.9%, -29.6% 악화됐다. 순손실 규모는 1403억원이다. 2분기 실적 컨센서스인 매출 5조3876억원 영업이익 662억원을 보기 좋게 빗나갔다. 상반기 매출 규모는 9조9347억원으로 지난해 같은 기간보다 7.7% 감소했다. 영업적자는 1032억원으로 무려 34배나 불어났다. 상반기 누적 순이익 규모는 342억원이다. 롯데케미칼은 지난해 2분기부터 올해 2분기까지 5개 분기 연속 손실을 기록하게 됐다. 글로벌 경기 침체로 석유화학 제품 수요가 줄어든 가운데, 코로나19 재확산으로 중국정부가 봉쇄정책을 실시하면서 수출 물량이 줄어든 탓이다. 한국신용평가에 따르면 올해 1~5월 누적기준 국내 석유화학제품의 중국 수출량은 전년 동기 대비 11% 감소했다. 업계에서는 석유화학 업황이 바닥을 찍었다는 평가가 나왔다. 중국을 중심으로 시장이 회복세를 보인다는 이유에서다. 한국신용평가는 최근 보고서를 통해 "중국 경기 회복세가 소비재 위주에서 내구재, 부동산 등으로 점차 전이되면서 국내 업체들의 중국향 석유화학 매출도 점진적으로 증가할 것"이라고 내다봤다.  

자료= 한국신용평가 다만 중국의 석유화학 제품 자급률이 높아지는 점은 부담 요인으로 꼽혔다. 현재 중국 내 석유화학 자급률은 폴리에틸렌(PE) 6~70%, 폴리프로필렌(PP) 100%로 추정된다.

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